January Review

Here are our stats for the month of January:

January was the first full month with the newly tightened 0.3% stop. This means that a trade will be considered a loss if it goes down 0.3% (from our alert price) after triggering our pick. A trade is not considered a win unless it yields at least 1% profit from the alert price. This usually works out to one taking profits when one has a reward equalling 2 times one's original risk (even though the stop is 0.3% you have to add a bit for slippage, etc).

In January we also provided stats for those using the old, wider 1% stop.


We had 21 triggers in total.

If you were using the 0.3% stop you would have had:

1 draw (if a stock goes up 0.5% from the alert price, then stop is automatically moved to alert price minus penny)

12 wins (minimum 1%)

8 losses (0.3%)

The 0.3% stop gave us a win-rate of 57% (12/21) and because the win is 2x as large as the loss, this is a decent number.

If you were using the old 1% stop you would have had:

1 draw

15 wins

5 losses

The 1% stop gave us a win rate of 71% (15/21), which is substantially better than the 57% of the 0.3% stop but of course with more risk and with more pain on the 5 losses.


Overall a ho-hum month. Nothing to cry over, and nothing to celebrate.